USDA’s March Supply and Demand silliness turned out to be a big ol’ Nothingburger.

As in USDA changed nothing in its supply and demand tables for corn and soybeans while increasing its guess on US all-wheat endings stocks by 25 mb.

  • 10 mb added to HRS (5 mb less exports, 5 mb more imports)
  • 5.0 mb increased in SRW
  • 10 mb increase in Durum

As for Global Supply and Demand

  • Wheat endings stocks were increased by 2.5 mmt (roughly)
  • Corn ending stocks were decreased by about 1.5 mmt
    • due in large part to a 2.0 mmt decrease in beginning stocks
  • Soybean ending stocks were decreased by about 3 mmt
    • Due to a 2 mmt increase in Chinese crush demand
    • and a 1 mmt increase in Argentina’s crush
    • Production guesses for both Brazil and Argentina were left unchanged
      • Brazil ~ 169.0 mmt
      • Argentina ~ 49.0 mmt
    • China’s imports were left unchanged at 109 mmt

The Bottom Line: There was nothing to get excited about. But I’m sure people will anyway.