Diesel Fuel
Theoretical Positions End-Users may have gone long the futures market last winter near $2.2180. Investors may have also gone long near $2.2180. Fundamentally, diesel fuel remains bullish (see below). Investors [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users may have gone long the futures market last winter near $2.2180. Investors may have also gone long near $2.2180. Fundamentally, diesel fuel remains bullish (see below). Investors [...]
Theoretical Positions Hedgers: Remaining 2026 production could’ve been sold near the recent weekly close of 86.33 based on both trend and seasonal analysis (see below). If holding 2026 production, additional [...]
Theoretical Positions Previous long March futures positions could’ve been liquidated near the recent weekly close of 20.24. New short March positions could’ve been established at the same time, based on [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers have likely been sellers in both cash and futures since mid-October 2025. Investors are likely on the sidelines at this time. I do not have a strong [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers have likely been sellers in both cash and futures. Investors could be on the sidelines at this time. However, if still long based on the idea of [...]
Bottom Line The hog and pork markets are sharply oversold. However, the collapse of the Pork Cutout Index (see below) is an indicator US consumer demand is moving away from [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Most of 2026 production has been sold. Small sales of 2027 production were made during the previous uptrend. Investors Long December futures positions could’ve been liquidated near [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Most of 2026 production has been sold. Small sales of expected 2027 production were made during the previous uptrend. Hold off on additional sales for now. Investors [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Most of 2026 production has likely been sold at this time. Investors Based on the completion of a bullish key reversal, investors could cover short December or [...]
Theoretical Positions Hedgers No new sales need to be made at this time. Let's see if the secondary trend has turned up. (See Trend Analysis below) Investors May have gone [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users Could cover winter quarter needs (Dec-Jan-Feb) near last Friday's close of the March futures contract at 64.56 Investors Could buy near last Friday's close. January at 64.05 [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users Would still be long the cash market. Coverage for the next year will be added when the market shows a bullish reversal. Investors Would’ve gone long Dec [...]
As discussed in Weekly Analysis: Grain, the March 2027 Corn futures contract completed a bullish key reversal last week, confirming a move to a new secondary (intermediate-term) uptrend. Fundamentally, the [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Cash sales were made during the previous uptrend due to high price distribution Dec26 hedges could be bought back near last Friday's close based on the completion [...]
Theoretical Positions End Users Cash needs for the 2026-2027 marketing year (September 2026 through August 2027) might’ve been covered when the National Corn Index posted a new 4-week high weekly [...]
Corn national average basis firmed last week but remains weak. Last week’s calculation came in at 32.0 cents under December futures (solid green line). as compared to the previous week’s [...]
The soybean national average basis market remains neutral. Last week’s calculation came in at 58.75 cents under the January contract (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s figure [...]
The HRW wheat national average basis market remains neutral-to-weak. Last week’s calculation came in at 62.75 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s 63.0 [...]
SRW wheat national average basis continues its seasonal firming but remains weak. Last week’s calculation came in at 61.5 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the [...]
The HRS wheat basis market weakened last week, but remains neutral-to-weak. Last week’s calculation came in near 33.5 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous [...]
According to sources, "No sales were reported in the south leaving any reported sales to occur on Saturday (November 14). One small group sold online in Texas at $220." For [...]
Afternoon Summary: The end of another week has arrived, this one wearing the hockey mask and carrying a machete, as is tradition for a Friday the 13th. As the dust [...]
Week 11 of the 26-week (6-month) tracking period for the 2027 edition of the November soybean/December corn futures spread is in the books. Those of you who have been with [...]
The latest weekly export sales and shipment update showed 2026-2027 marketing year export shipments of U.S. Corn at 472 mb (blue column) through Thursday, November 05, a point in the [...]