Flippity Flop
Afternoon Summary: As Tuesday played out, we did see a number of its potential personalities come to light. First and foremost, it was indeed a Turnaround Tuesday, particularly in US [...]
Afternoon Summary: As Tuesday played out, we did see a number of its potential personalities come to light. First and foremost, it was indeed a Turnaround Tuesday, particularly in US [...]
As I talked about in Morning Commentary, Tuesday is a lot of things. But more importantly, from a market point of view, it is the last positioning day before CFTC [...]
Morning Summary: Today can be a number of things, depending on 1) how it plays out and 2) how one chooses to view it. What we know for sure is [...]
Afternoon Summary: I stepped away from the quote screen for a while today, needing to run some errands. I should’ve known better, given the time of year we are in [...]
Morning Summary: Those of us who were still young back in the late 1970s remember just how big the original Star Wars movie was. (Even though, as time went on, [...]
Corn national average basis remains weak. Last Friday’s calculation came in at 42.0 cents under July futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous Friday’s figure of 43.0 cents [...]
Soybean national average basis remains weak. Last Friday’s calculation came in at 70.75 cents under July futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s figure of 76.75 cents [...]
The HRW wheat national average basis market remains weak. Last Friday’s calculation came in at 63.25 cents under July futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s 78.5 [...]
SRW wheat national average basis remains neutral-to-weak. Last Friday calculation came in at 56.0 cents under July futures (green line) as compared to the previous week’s 61.0 cents under (green [...]
The HRS wheat basis market remains weak. Last Friday’s calculation came in at 53.75 cents under July futures (green line) as compared to the previous week’s 51.0 cents under (green [...]
Live Cattle national average basis is weak. This should be viewed as a bearish fundamental factor for the market. The National Live Cattle Index (LEY00) came in at $247.78 last [...]
As I was finishing Monthly Analysis of Grains, I saw a glitch occur on the quote screen, dropping the Nov26 futures contract to $0.00. I had to laugh, as it [...]
I've created a Summary Table of long-term investment Theoretical Positions based on Monthly Analysis. Let me know what you think. The bottom line is the commodity complex in general looks [...]
December Corn: December futures completed bullish spike reversals during August 2024 and 2025. The Dec26 contract extended the major (long-term) uptrend to a high of $4.9975 during April before closing [...]
Live Cattle (Nearby futures): The April issue extended the markets major (long-term) uptrend to a high $255.975 during April before closing at $254.00, up $10.725 (4.4%) for the month. Theoretical [...]
Cotton (CTY00, Cash Index): The Index completed a bullish key reversal during February meaning the major (long-term) trend turned up. The Index extended its major uptrend to a high of [...]
Brent crude (QA): The sot-month futures contract extended the markets’s major (long-term) uptrend to a high of $120.30 during April, its highest price since June 2022. The spot-month contract closed [...]
Gold (Cash Index): Gold’s Cash Index looks to have confirmed a major (long-term) downtrend at the end of March, before consolidating during April. Theoretical Positions: It’s possible investment traders bought near [...]
The S&P 500 ($INX) to its major (long-term) uptrend during April, extending the move to a new all-time high of 7,219.83 before closing at 7,209.01, up 10.4% for the month. [...]
The US dollar index ($DXY) confirmed a new major (long-term) uptrend by completing a bullish key reversal during March. Theoretical Positions: If still short heading into March, investors would’ve covered [...]
The March 2026 Oilseed Crushings report from USDA/NASS was released on Friday, May 1. 227 mb of soybeans were reportedly crushed during March as compared to 214 mb during February [...]
Net Positions as of Tuesday, April 28 (Legacy, Futures Only) Corn: Net-long 340,740 contracts (an increase of 77,008 contracts) HRW Wheat: Net-long 12,640 contracts (a decrease of 1,698 contracts) Soybeans: [...]