What stood out to me at the end of September? Grains Most of the long-term monthly charts showed bearish reversals during September, despite the fact reads on real fundamentals didn't [...]

Note: The Grains sector is difficult at the end of September. From a technical point of view, I see long-term reversal patters resulting in sell signals in nearly all markets. [...]

Live Cattle (Nearby futures): Despite consolidation during September, the market still looks to be in a major (long-term) downtrend. The downtrend began with the bearish key reversal during May 2026. [...]

Cotton (Dec contract Only): The December futures contract moved to a secondary (intermediate-term) downtrend with a bearish key reversal the first week of September. This was followed by the completion [...]

Brent crude (QA): Theoretical Positions: It’s possible investors went long the market during January or February on bullish technical breakouts. The market completed another bullish outside range during July. The [...]

Gold (Cash Index): While the Index consolidated during September, it remains in a major (long-term) downtrend that began with a bearish outside monthly range during March. The Index closed September [...]

The US dollar index ($DXY): The Index still looks to be in a major (long-term) uptrend that was confirmed as the greenback posted a new 4-month high during March 2026. [...]

The S&P 500 ($INX) consolidated during September before closing at 7,651.54, down 34.60 (0.45%) for the month. Theoretical Positions: Investors likely bought back into the Index durning April and are [...]

August was a busy month for the Newsom Capital Corn Fund. This fund is based on a couple different tools: December corn futures only and Exchanged Traded Funds (ETFs), the [...]

What stood out to me at the end of August? Both Grains and Softs, two sectors filled with weather derivative markets, continued to show long-term uptrends. Despite continued volatility, Energies [...]

December Corn: The Dec26 contract extended the major (long-term) uptrend to a high of $5.42 during August before closing at $5.3775, down 73.75 cents (15.9%) for the month. Dec26 took [...]

Live Cattle (Nearby futures): The market extended its major (long-term) downtrend to a low of $205.125 before the October issue closed August at $212.675, down $14.575 (6.4%)for the month. The [...]

Cotton (CTY00, Cash Index): The Index extended its major (long-term) uptrend to a high of 87.95 during August before closing at that price, up 11.2 cents (14.6%) for the month. Theoretical [...]

Brent crude (QA): Theoretical Positions: It’s possible investors went long the market during January or February on bullish technical breakouts. The market completed another bullish outside range during July before [...]

Gold (Cash Index): Despite the rally in cash gold during August, the Index remains in a major (long-term) downtrend that began with a bearish outside monthly range during March. The [...]

The S&P 500 ($INX) extended its major (long-term) uptrend to a high of 7,816.70 during August before closing at 7,686.14, up 196.42 (2.6%) for the month. Theoretical Positions: Investors likely [...]

The US dollar index ($DXY): Despite posting another lower monthly close at the end of August, the US dollar index still looks to be in a major (long-term) uptrend that [...]

I’ve created a Summary Table of long-term investment Theoretical Positions based on Monthly Analysis. Let me know what you think.

December Corn: The corn market is filled with a number of conflicting signals. Fundamentally the market remained neutral at the end of July (see Supply and Demand Commentary). As for [...]

Live Cattle (Nearby futures): The market extended its major (long-term) downtrend to a low of $221.70 before the August issue closed July at $231.75, down $10.675 for the month. The [...]

Cotton (CTY00, Cash Index): The Index completed a bullish key reversal during February meaning the major (long-term) trend turned up. However, the Index also completed a bearish spike reversal during [...]

I’ve said for many months (years?) the commodity complex has become easily manipulated by US White House announcements and not necessarily the Truth Social media posts. These lead to manufactured [...]

Gold (Cash Index): The cash Gold Index consolidated during July, closing at $4,044.76, up $37.17 (0.9%) for the month. The Index confirmed a major (long-term) downtrend with a bearish outside [...]

The S&P 500 ($INX) consolidated during July after completing a bearish spike reversal during June, the latter confirming a move to a major downtrend. The S&P closed July at 7,489.72, [...]

The US dollar index ($DXY): Despite posting a lower monthly close at the end of July, down 1.28, the US dollar index still looks to be in a major (long-term) [...]