Live Cattle futures spreads: Neutral-Bullish

  • The October-December closed August at (-$1.90)
    • as compared to the end of July settlement at $0.30
    • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of August at (-$3.95)
  • The December-February closed August at (-$1.90)
    • as compared to the end of July  settlement at $0.075
    • with the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week at August at (-$1.275)
  • The February-April closed August at (-$1.50)
    • as compared to the end of July settlement of (-$0.475)
    • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of August at (-$2.925)
  • Bottom Line: While the commercial view is not as bullish as it was a few months ago, it still is not bearish.

Feeder Cattle futures spreads: Bullish

  • The September-October closed August at $4.425
    • as compared to the end of July settlement of $8.425
  • The October-November spread closed August at $6.60
    • as compared to the end of July settlement of $6.225
  • Bottom Line: Despite a strong round of commercial selling in the September-October futures spread during August, spreads continue to run near or above previous 5-year high weekly closes.

Lean Hogs futures spreads: Mixed

  • The October-December closed August at $9.525
    • as compared to the end of July settlement at $9.175
    • with the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of August at $9.45
    • Short-term supply and demand is Bullish
  • The December-February closed August at (-$2.375)
    • as compared to the end of July settlement at (-$3.025)
    • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of August at (-$3.075)
    • Intermediate-term supply and demand is Neutral
  • The February-April closed August at (-$5.50)
    • as compared to the end of July settlement at (-$4.525)
    • and the previous 5-year low weekly close for the last week of August at (-$5.45)
    • Longer-term supply and demand is Neutral