Live Cattle futures spreads: Neutral-to-Bullish

  • The October-December closed at (-$2.925)
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at (-$1.125)
    • and the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of September at $1.05
      • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of September at (-$4.275)
  • The December-February closed at (-$2.20)
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at (-$1.475)
    • and the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of September at (-$0.575)
      • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of September at (-$4.15)
    • Indicating more cattle to be priced against the December futures contract
  • The February-April closed at (-$0.975)
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at (-$0.20)
  • The bottom line is commercial traders were putting pressure on futures spreads across the board in live cattle. While I won’t go as far as to say the herd is suddenly expanding again, I will say the longer-term fundamental outlook is not as bullish as before.

Feeder Cattle futures spreads: Bullish

  • The October-November closed at $1.675
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at $0.875
  • The November-January closed at $6.30
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at $5.975

Lean Hogs futures spreads: Bullish

  • The October-December closed at $11.125
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at $7.625
    • and the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of September at $10.475
  • The December-February closed at (-$1.575)
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at (-$2.225)
    • and the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of September at (-$1.125)
      • with the previous 5-year average weekly close for the last week of August at (-$3.325)
  • The February-April closed at (-$2.55)
    • as compared to the end of August settlement at (-$2.825)
    • and the previous 5-year high weekly close for the last week of August at (-$2.20)