December Cotton Daily
I want to put the spotlight on a market that usually lurks in the shadows: Cotton. As mentioned in Monday's Afternoon Commentary, the December contract gained as much as 2.12 [...]
I want to put the spotlight on a market that usually lurks in the shadows: Cotton. As mentioned in Monday's Afternoon Commentary, the December contract gained as much as 2.12 [...]
Afternoon Summary: The classic song (Monday Monday) from The Mamas & the Papas said it well, “Monday, Monday, you can’t trust that day. Monday, Monday, sometimes it just turns out [...]
USDA announced export sales Monday morning: 123,540 mt of 2026-27 corn to Mexico 104,000 mt of 2026-27 soybeans to unknown destinations There is a strong likelihood this is some of [...]
Morning Summary: Welcome to another week everyone, the first full week of October. A look at the quote screen and we see the commodity complex is – well – it’s [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers have likely been sellers in both cash and futures since mid-October 2025. National average basis remains strong, (see Basis Analysis), so cattle should be moved when ready. [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers have likely been sellers in both cash and futures. Investors are likely on the sidelines, waiting for a clear buy signal. Seasonal Analysis The November contract extended [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Cash sales have likely been made and short hedges lifted, putting producers on the sidelines for now. Investors Investors could buy futures near last Friday's settlement based [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Most of 2026 production has likely been sold. Small sales of 2027 production were made during the previous uptrend. Investors Would’ve gone long the December issue near [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Most of 2026 production has likely been sold. Small sales of expected 2027 production were made during the previous uptrend. Hold off on additional sales for now. [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Hold off on new sales of 2026 bushels, waiting to see if the December contract can find support near $6.8950. Investors Based on the completion of a [...]
Theoretical Positions Hedgers Cash sales of expected 2026 and 2o27 production can continue to be made based on historically high Nov26 and Nov27 futures prices. Investors May have gone long [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users May be buying on an as-needed basis at this time. Investors Have likely moved to the sidelines until a clear trend develops. TrendAnalysis The December futures contract [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users Would still be long the cash market. No additional purchases should be made given the market looks to have rolled over into a downtrend (see below). Investors [...]
Theoretical Positions End-Users may have gone long the futures market last winter near $2.2180. Investors may have also gone long near $2.2180. Fundamentally, diesel fuel remains bullish (see below). Trend [...]
Theoretical Positions Hedgers: Remaining 2026 production could’ve been sold near the recent weekly close of 86.33 based on both trend and seasonal analysis (see below). Investors could’ve sold the December [...]
Theoretical Positions Producers Cash sales were made during the previous uptrend due to high price distribution Based on seasonal, price distribution, volatility, and long-term technical analysis: December $5.00 calls could’ve [...]
Theoretical Positions End Users Cash needs for the 2026-2027 marketing year (September 2026 through August 2027) might’ve been covered when the National Corn Index posted a new 4-week high weekly [...]
Corn national average basis remains weak. Last week’s calculation came in at 40.0 cents under December futures (solid green line). as compared to the previous week’s figure of 41.0 cents [...]
The soybean national average basis market remains neutral. Last week’s calculation came in at 55.75 cents under the November contract (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s figure [...]
The HRW wheat national average basis market remains neutral-to-weak. Last week’s calculation came in at 66.5 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s 67.0 [...]
SRW wheat national average basis remains neutral. Last week’s calculation came in at 69.25 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s 71.0 cents under [...]
The HRS wheat basis market is neutral-to-weak. Last week’s calculation came in near 51.5 cents under December futures (solid green line) as compared to the previous week’s 59.25 cents under [...]
The Live Cattle national average basis market is strong. Cash was reported Friday afternoon at $226, unchanged from the previous week. October futures closed Friday at $218.85, down $0.025 for [...]