Crude Behaviour
Maybe it’s the time of year that has led to my ongoing reflection of markets, analysis, and life in general. Does it have something to do with the new year [...]
Maybe it’s the time of year that has led to my ongoing reflection of markets, analysis, and life in general. Does it have something to do with the new year [...]
"Just heard Mica died from a heart attack." That was the message my older brother sent out late Monday night. Mica Schnoeblen was a prominent figure back in my hometown [...]
I had a long conversation with my friend in the brokerage industry last week. As we went through the commodity complex market by market, I found myself saying, “I don’t [...]
As I sit down to write this week’s Column, it is Sunday, November 30, the last day of meteorological fall. This tells us, unequivocally, winter is coming. Mondays are what [...]
My friend in the cattle industry called Monday afternoon to give me more information about the situation between the US administration and US beef packers, most notably Tyson. The stage [...]
When next week comes to an end (Sunday, November 30), the curtain will come down on the fall season. Fall, or autumn, means something different to most everyone. To some, [...]
I was recently asked if I would use some form of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to write my commentary and/or analysis. The question came during a discussion of the various pieces [...]
Back in the day when I worked in the newsroom, part of my job was to visit with Chicago floor reporter Gary Wilhelmi. Gary had been around markets for decades [...]
It was just after midnight (CT), Monday November 2, 2015, when my wife woke me and broke the news, the Kansas City Royals had just won the World Series. I [...]
The chess player has been playing the game for about 40 years. And while he is far from being a Grand Master, he believes himself to be an adequate player, [...]
It was October 1987. I had just graduated from Fort Hays State University[i] (Hays, Kansas) the May prior with a Bachelor of Arts degree in Political Science. At the time, [...]
I’ve talked a lot lately about the meteoric rise in Metals[i]. Since the close of business on Wednesday, January 31, the cash indexes for gold and silver have gained 34% [...]
It’s mid-July 2008. I had flown into La Guardia airport in Queens, New York[i] earlier in the day and somehow found a cab that took me to Lower Manhattan, in [...]
I had the opportunity to do a number of interviews last week, many with friends I’ve had in the industry for a number of years, if not decades. Naturally, there [...]
By definition, a conundrum is a difficult and complicated problem, one admitting of no satisfactory solution. It is also defined as “a riddle in which a fanciful question is answered [...]
My friend in the brokerage business sent me a message last week that asked, “When is the 2025 edition of The Gamblers’ Secret going to be posted?” I have to [...]
For the second consecutive week (at least), I’m going to address some of the questions that have come in of late. Where last week focused on the difficult question in [...]
The most frequently asked question these days has to do with the cattle markets, US boxed beef in particular. It comes in a variety of ways, but to summarize them [...]
This will be a different kind of Weekly Column, the reason why revealing itself as we go along. There is plenty I could say about the markets, but sometimes we [...]
A number of years ago I wrote a Weekly Column discussing a possible tipping point in corn[i], a discussion that included the economic concept of equilibrium[ii] and Newton’s First Law [...]
It’s a thought as old as trade itself, something I like to call the Right vs. Wrong Truism, “It doesn’t pay to be right when the market is wrong.” This [...]
This past week, a friend in the brokerage industry called to update me on some of the chatter going around the company office. It seems the sujet du jour (subject [...]
I write this piece early Sunday morning, June 22, before global markets open yet after the supposed bombings of Iranian nuclear facilities by US B-2 stealth bombers. As is always [...]
There is an unwritten rule when it comes to analysis and commentary of agricultural commodities that says, “Everything is always bullish”. Continued low cattle numbers decreasing feed demand for corn? [...]
As mentioned in Monday’s (June 2, 2025) Morning Commentary, the meteorological calendar turned from spring to summer this past weekend. The word “summer” brings to mind a number of mental [...]