Fair Value
This past week, a friend in the brokerage industry called to update me on some of the chatter going around the company office. It seems the sujet du jour (subject [...]
This past week, a friend in the brokerage industry called to update me on some of the chatter going around the company office. It seems the sujet du jour (subject [...]
I write this piece early Sunday morning, June 22, before global markets open yet after the supposed bombings of Iranian nuclear facilities by US B-2 stealth bombers. As is always [...]
There is an unwritten rule when it comes to analysis and commentary of agricultural commodities that says, “Everything is always bullish”. Continued low cattle numbers decreasing feed demand for corn? [...]
As mentioned in Monday’s (June 2, 2025) Morning Commentary, the meteorological calendar turned from spring to summer this past weekend. The word “summer” brings to mind a number of mental [...]
As I mentioned in Monday’s Afternoon Commentary (May 19), a good friend from central Nebraska called to talk markets. While our conversation initially focused on new-crop corn and soybeans, it [...]
As you likely know, this week will see a number of cars traveling the highways and byways of Kansas as the 2025 Wheat Quality Tour covers the Sunflower State. For [...]
In the spirit of last weekend’s Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, when the highlight has long been the extended Question and Answer session with the crowd asking the questions[i] while Warren [...]
A number of years ago, about this time of year, I was on a flight back to Omaha from a speaking engagement somewhere. The plane was packed with folks coming [...]
Monday afternoon (April 21), Kelly Evans, one of the anchors for CNBC television, mentioned in her latest newsletter that, “Something very weird is happening”. Setting aside Mark Twain’s thoughts on [...]
As I mentioned in Wednesday’s Morning Commentary, I realize how loudly I’ve been banging the bearish drum when I talk about the US hard red winter (HRW) wheat market. I [...]
After taping our interview for this past weekend’s “This Week in Agribusiness” market segment[i], my longtime friend, occasional speaking tour partner, and host of the program Mike Pearson told me, [...]
This past week felt like a month. By the time we arrived at Friday’s close, the hullabaloo surrounding the March 31 USDA nonsense was a distant memory. And it had [...]
As you likely recall, I am not an economist, and proud to remind everyone of that fact any time, any place. Yet I’m one of the few analysts who still [...]
A long time ago in a galaxy far, far away I was the grain merchandiser at the Great Bend Cooperative in central Kansas. The late John Hiss, a good friend [...]
This week finds members of US agriculture gathering at the 2025 edition of Commodity Classic in Denver, Colorado. Of all the classics I had the opportunity to attend, and speak [...]
Some of you have been with me long enough to remember my early days at DTN. The company was on its way to the top of the ag media industry [...]
We’ve reached the point in our discussion of technical analysis where we have to figure out what clues Watson – my name for the algorithm-driven investment industry as a whole [...]
I know I mentioned this follow-up piece on technical analysis would be about the Italian mathematician Fibonacci, but I’m going to leave him in the bullpen for now. After all, [...]
Last Friday, I had the opportunity to be the guest on Barchart’s Market on Close program, hosted by the company’s Senior Market Strategist John Rowland[i]. I’ve had a few conversations [...]
As many of you know, I grew up on a small farm in south-central/southwest Kansas, the description depending on if where the person I’m talking to is from. Most Kansans [...]
After spending the last 3 months talking about everything I don’t like, I wanted to close out January by talking about some of my favorite things. Not all of these [...]
As you know, I took a few days off early last week to speak at the 2025 Water Street Solution’s EDGE Conference in Clearwater, Florida. Let me begin by saying [...]
Later today, January 10, 2025, USDA will release its annual data dump that includes monthly grain supply and demand guesses, annual crop production (the “final” numbers until changed again), quarterly [...]
In a previous life, I would spend weeks putting together an industry outlook for the coming year, to be presented at the DTN Ag Summit in early December. My standard [...]
This is always a tough time of year, even for those of us who root for the Grinch’s heart to not grow three sizes and Scrooge to not be spooked [...]