Everything is Always Bullish
There is an unwritten rule when it comes to analysis and commentary of agricultural commodities that says, “Everything is always bullish”. Continued low cattle numbers decreasing feed demand for corn? [...]
There is an unwritten rule when it comes to analysis and commentary of agricultural commodities that says, “Everything is always bullish”. Continued low cattle numbers decreasing feed demand for corn? [...]
As mentioned in Monday’s (June 2, 2025) Morning Commentary, the meteorological calendar turned from spring to summer this past weekend. The word “summer” brings to mind a number of mental [...]
As I mentioned in Monday’s Afternoon Commentary (May 19), a good friend from central Nebraska called to talk markets. While our conversation initially focused on new-crop corn and soybeans, it [...]
As you likely know, this week will see a number of cars traveling the highways and byways of Kansas as the 2025 Wheat Quality Tour covers the Sunflower State. For [...]
In the spirit of last weekend’s Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, when the highlight has long been the extended Question and Answer session with the crowd asking the questions[i] while Warren [...]
A number of years ago, about this time of year, I was on a flight back to Omaha from a speaking engagement somewhere. The plane was packed with folks coming [...]
Monday afternoon (April 21), Kelly Evans, one of the anchors for CNBC television, mentioned in her latest newsletter that, “Something very weird is happening”. Setting aside Mark Twain’s thoughts on [...]
As I mentioned in Wednesday’s Morning Commentary, I realize how loudly I’ve been banging the bearish drum when I talk about the US hard red winter (HRW) wheat market. I [...]
After taping our interview for this past weekend’s “This Week in Agribusiness” market segment[i], my longtime friend, occasional speaking tour partner, and host of the program Mike Pearson told me, [...]
This past week felt like a month. By the time we arrived at Friday’s close, the hullabaloo surrounding the March 31 USDA nonsense was a distant memory. And it had [...]
As you likely recall, I am not an economist, and proud to remind everyone of that fact any time, any place. Yet I’m one of the few analysts who still [...]
A long time ago in a galaxy far, far away I was the grain merchandiser at the Great Bend Cooperative in central Kansas. The late John Hiss, a good friend [...]
This week finds members of US agriculture gathering at the 2025 edition of Commodity Classic in Denver, Colorado. Of all the classics I had the opportunity to attend, and speak [...]
Some of you have been with me long enough to remember my early days at DTN. The company was on its way to the top of the ag media industry [...]
We’ve reached the point in our discussion of technical analysis where we have to figure out what clues Watson – my name for the algorithm-driven investment industry as a whole [...]
I know I mentioned this follow-up piece on technical analysis would be about the Italian mathematician Fibonacci, but I’m going to leave him in the bullpen for now. After all, [...]
Last Friday, I had the opportunity to be the guest on Barchart’s Market on Close program, hosted by the company’s Senior Market Strategist John Rowland[i]. I’ve had a few conversations [...]
As many of you know, I grew up on a small farm in south-central/southwest Kansas, the description depending on if where the person I’m talking to is from. Most Kansans [...]
After spending the last 3 months talking about everything I don’t like, I wanted to close out January by talking about some of my favorite things. Not all of these [...]
As you know, I took a few days off early last week to speak at the 2025 Water Street Solution’s EDGE Conference in Clearwater, Florida. Let me begin by saying [...]
Later today, January 10, 2025, USDA will release its annual data dump that includes monthly grain supply and demand guesses, annual crop production (the “final” numbers until changed again), quarterly [...]
In a previous life, I would spend weeks putting together an industry outlook for the coming year, to be presented at the DTN Ag Summit in early December. My standard [...]
This is always a tough time of year, even for those of us who root for the Grinch’s heart to not grow three sizes and Scrooge to not be spooked [...]
Anyone who has seen the classic holiday cartoon “A Charlie Brown Christmas” is familiar with the scene when Linus takes the podium, says “Lights please”, and proceeds to tell the [...]
I remember when I first got into the business of watching commodity markets back in the late 1980’s, the short-term Wild West mentality of the industry at the time spilled [...]