May Soybeans
I've had a number of conversations about soybeans of late, with most of them looking for an opportunity to sell this social media manufactured rally. You may have found these [...]
I've had a number of conversations about soybeans of late, with most of them looking for an opportunity to sell this social media manufactured rally. You may have found these [...]
The Soybean futures market continues to storm higher Tuesday morning with the nearby January issue gaining as much as 12.25 cents. New-crop November 2026 has been a bit more lethargic, [...]
At last Friday's close, December corn futures were generally neutral based on price distribution analysis using weekly closes back through 2020. The 2025 contract (green column) closed at $4.3475, putting [...]
As discussed in Weekly Analysis of Soybean Futures, up to 25% of expected soybean production could be locked in with the November 2026 futures contract priced at $11.00 or higher. [...]
I raised the question of the US soybean markets's real supply and demand situation in Monday's Morning Commentary. The best way I can think to show this is with the [...]
As mentioned in Thursday's Morning Commentary, the National Corn Index came in at $3.8125 Wednesday evening, a price that puts it in the lower 20% of its price distribution range [...]
As mentioned in Thursday's Morning Commentary, the December 2025 corn contract priced at $4.1650 (Wednesday's close) put it in the lower 23% (solid green column) of its price range based [...]
Continuing our look at new-crop July winter wheat contracts, Wednesday's study puts the SRW market center stage. The Jul26 contract was priced near $5.69 at this writing, putting the contract [...]
With the seeding of the 2026 winter wheat crop getting under way, let's take a look at where new-crop July futures contracts sit within their respective price distribution ranges, starting [...]
Continuing the discussion from Wednesday's new-crop corn Weekly Analysis update, let's take a look at May Corn using price distribution analysis. May 2026 corn closed yesterday at $4.46, putting it [...]
As mentioned in Morning Commentary, the worm may be turning for Dec25 corn. Seasonally, December corn tends to post a low weekly close the fourth week of August (next week) [...]
As mentioned in Wednesday's Morning Commentary, the National HRW Wheat Index was calculated near $4.6075 Tuesday evening. This was down 8.5 cents for the day and put the index in [...]
To continue the discussion of monthly supply and demand based on the economic Law of Supply and Demand, let's take a look at the monthly close-only price distribution study for [...]
As mentioned in Tuesday's Morning Commentary, the National HRW Wheat Index was calculated near $4.7075 Monday evening putting it in the lower 9% of its price distribution range based on [...]
December corn's various factors are getting interesting. As you recall from Weekly Analysis: Watson decreased its net-short futures position by 13,764 contract as of Tuesday, July 8 Though likely added [...]
In Tuesday's Chart of the Day, a look at the latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report (legacy, futures only) chart for Corn, I concluded with the statement we don't know [...]
After I posted Canola's Weekly Analysis this past weekend, including the new-crop November contract's 5-year price distribution study, I started thinking about what the November soybean chart might show. After [...]
As mentioned in today's Morning Commentary, the National HRW Wheat Index (national average cash price) was calculated Monday evening at $4.7675 putting national average basis at 60.75 cents under July [...]
I had a question come in Tuesday asking if it would be a good time to lock in some 2025 production with the March 2026 futures contract. I'll begin by [...]
As discussed in Weekly Analysis, Watson has been covering some of its net-short futures position after pushing it out to a record large 62,690 contracts as of Tuesday, May 13. [...]
As mentioned in Wednesday's Morning Commentary, July HRS fell to a new contract low of $5.7675 Tuesday before rallying to close at $5.8075, still down 3.25 cents for the day. [...]
As we know, soybeans posted a strong rally to open the week. This was seen in both old-crop and new-crop markets as July closed 19.5 cents higher, Nov25 finished with [...]
I don't know what is going to happen when Grains open this evening. All the chatter over the weekend brings to mind when the Phase 1 Trade Deal was announced [...]
As mentioned in Thursday's Morning Commentary, the July HRW Wheat contract had worked its way back into the lower 21% of its price distribution range based on weekly closes only [...]
The National Corn Index (national average cash price, intrinsic value of the market) was calculated Monday evening near $4.2550, down 14.5 cents from last Friday's figure. This put the Index [...]