Weekly Analysis – Page 14 – Darin Newsom Analysis

WTI Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T10:21:54-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines, though keeping an eye on what looks to be a building seasonal turn (see below). Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the market tends [...]

Diesel Fuel

Diesel Fuel

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T10:12:28-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The spot-month contract tends to rally [...]

Gold

Gold

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T10:03:39-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Metals, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) for reasons other than technical or fundamental. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the Index tends to trend [...]

Live Cattle

Live Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T09:54:49-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The October issue tends to post a short-term high weekly close the first week of August [...]

Feeder Cattle

Feeder Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T09:46:02-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales can continue to be made when cattle are ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The October issue tends to post a high weekly close the first week of [...]

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T09:32:41-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the high Cash Index and futures prices. Short hedges of deferred contracts may have been [...]

HRW Wheat

HRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T09:14:45-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could’ve been sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected 2025 production [...]

SRW Wheat

SRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T08:52:05-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The July issue could’ve been sold near the weekly close of $6.17 (February 21) based on a bearish spike reversal on the contract’s weekly chart. Newly harvested cash [...]

HRS Wheat

HRS Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T08:10:30-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales have likely been made during harvest. However, if the Index posts a new 4-week high, these sales could be put on hold as the market begins [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T07:53:08-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: New-crop sales can be put on hold for now. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral November futures tend to fall from the first weekly close of June through the third weekly [...]

Soybean Meal

Soybean Meal

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T07:41:06-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: The balance of summer needs as well as fall and winter needs could’ve been covered when the December futures contract moved above the previous 4-week high of $290.50 [...]

Canola

Canola

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T07:27:01-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could’ve been made near [...]

Cotton

Cotton

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T07:08:37-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Softs, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers: Dec tends rally from the third weekly close of July through the last weekly close of August (see below) Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in [...]

Corn: New-Crop

Corn: New-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T05:39:22-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Investors Short Dec25 positions at roughly $4.60 were covered near $4.01 (Friday, August 15) Short options added roughly 40 cents with 20 cents used to buy Dec25 $4.20 [...]

Corn: Old-Crop

Corn: Old-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-08-23T05:20:09-05:00August 23rd, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: End-users: Cash needs can start to be covered more aggressively based on a potential seasonal turn. The key price to watch is the previous 4-week high weekly close [...]

WTI Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil

Darin Newsom2025-08-17T05:19:17-05:00August 17th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines. However, given the seasonal turn to the market, buy stops could be placed above the previous 4-week high of $64.34. The spot-month [...]

Diesel Fuel

Diesel Fuel

Darin Newsom2025-08-17T05:06:29-05:00August 17th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The spot-month contract tends to rally [...]

Gold

Gold

Darin Newsom2025-08-17T04:53:22-05:00August 17th, 2025|Metals, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) for reasons other than technical or fundamental. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the Index tends to trend [...]

Live Cattle

Live Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T07:04:29-05:00August 16th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The October issue tends to post a short-term high weekly close the first week of August [...]

Feeder Cattle

Feeder Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T06:57:26-05:00August 16th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales could continue to be made when cattle are ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The October issue tends to post a high weekly close the first week of [...]

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T06:47:24-05:00August 16th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the high Cash Index and futures prices. Short hedges of deferred contracts may have been [...]

HRW Wheat

HRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T06:33:21-05:00August 16th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could’ve been sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected 2025 production [...]

SRW Wheat

SRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T06:23:25-05:00August 16th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The July issue could’ve been sold near the weekly close of $6.17 (February 21) based on a bearish spike reversal on the contract’s weekly chart. Newly harvested cash [...]

HRS Wheat

HRS Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T06:13:10-05:00August 16th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales have likely been made in early harvest. However, if the Index posts a new 4-week high, these sales could be put on hold as the market [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-08-16T05:52:45-05:00August 16th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: It’s possible some sales of Nov25 were made as the contract took out its previous 4-week low of $10.3725 (possible sale of $10.37). Additional sales could've been made [...]