Weekly Analysis – Page 16 – Darin Newsom Analysis

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T10:00:13-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the continued high Cash Index and futures prices. Short hedges of deferred contracts may have [...]

Wheat HRW

Wheat HRW

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T09:07:19-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could be sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend (see below) Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected [...]

Wheat SRW

Wheat SRW

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T08:58:34-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The July issue could’ve been sold near the weekly close of $6.17 (February 21) based on a bearish spike reversal on the contract’s weekly chart. Newly harvested cash [...]

Wheat HRS

Wheat HRS

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T08:50:43-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The Sept25 issue closed Friday at $5.7225, down 12.5 cents for the week. The December issue closed at $5.9675, down 9.25 cents. Sell stops were likely triggered recently [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T08:26:38-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: It’s possible some sales of Nov25 were made as the contract took out its previous 4-week low of $10.3725 (possible sale of $10.37). Additional sales could be made [...]

Soybean Meal

Soybean Meal

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T08:17:59-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Summer coverage (June-July-August) can continue to be bought as needed. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The nearby futures contract tends to trend down from the second weekly close of January [...]

Canola

Canola

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T08:08:08-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could be made near [...]

Cotton

Cotton

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T07:45:16-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Softs, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers: Dec tends rally from the third weekly close of July through the last weekly close of August (see below) Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in [...]

Corn: New-Crop

Corn: New-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T07:34:11-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Investors Previous Positions Short Dec25 at roughly $4.60 Dec25 closed last Friday at $4.1075 Short options added roughly 40 cents Long Dec26 near $4.62 Dec26 closed last Friday [...]

Corn: Old-Crop

Corn: Old-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-08-02T07:16:36-05:00August 2nd, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: End-users: Summer cash needs are being covered as needed. Producers: Cash sales of 2024 supplies should be finished. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish Seasonally, the Index tends to trend down [...]

Gold

Gold

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:49:24-05:00July 26th, 2025|Metals, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) for reasons other than technical or fundamental. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the Index tends to trend [...]

WTI Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:45:55-05:00July 26th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish Seasonally, the market tends to post a high weekly close the fourth week of June From there, the spot-month [...]

Diesel Fuel

Diesel Fuel

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:40:58-05:00July 26th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral The spot-month contract tends to trend [...]

Live Cattle

Live Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:28:07-05:00July 26th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally the August live cattle contract tends to trend up through the summer season. The previous [...]

Feeder Cattle

Feeder Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:21:04-05:00July 26th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales could be made more aggressively given increased pressure from commercial traders. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The August issue tends to rally from the first weekly close of [...]

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T08:02:03-05:00July 26th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the continued high Cash Index and futures prices. Short hedges of deferred contracts may have [...]

HRW Wheat

HRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T07:45:35-05:00July 26th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could be sold across the scales given the Cash Indexes seasonal downtrend (see below) Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected [...]

SRW Wheat

SRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T07:33:20-05:00July 26th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The July issue could’ve been sold near the weekly close of $6.17 (February 21) based on a bearish spike reversal on the contract’s weekly chart. Newly harvested cash [...]

HRS Wheat

HRS Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T07:23:26-05:00July 26th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: The Sept25 issue closed Friday at $5.8475, down 10.75 cents for the week. The December issue closed at $6.06, down 10.5 cents. Sell stops were likely triggered recently [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T07:00:34-05:00July 26th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: It’s possible some sales of Nov25 were made as the contract took out its previous 4-week low of $10.3725 (possible sale of $10.37). Additional sales could be made [...]

Soybean Meal

Soybean Meal

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T05:45:42-05:00July 26th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Summer coverage (June-July-August) can continue to be bought as needed. While commercial pressure continues to build, a rally could come from noncommercial short-covering. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The nearby [...]

Canola

Canola

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T05:34:20-05:00July 26th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could be made near [...]

Cotton

Cotton

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T05:17:31-05:00July 26th, 2025|Softs, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers: Dec tends rally from the third weekly close of July through the last weekly close of August (see below) Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in [...]

Corn: New-Crop

Corn: New-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T05:21:31-05:00July 26th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Investors (See Chart of the Day from Wednesday, July 16) Previous Positions Short Dec25 at roughly $4.60 Dec25 closed last Friday at $4.19 Short options added roughly 40 [...]

Corn: Old-Crop

Corn: Old-Crop

Darin Newsom2025-07-26T04:33:13-05:00July 26th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: End-users: Summer cash needs are being covered as needed. But we need to keep a close eye on the market as it is in the timeframe when it [...]