Weekly Analysis – Page 11 – Darin Newsom Analysis

Corn: Futures

Corn: Futures

Darin Newsom2025-10-18T04:43:26-05:00October 18th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Investors Short Dec25 positions at roughly $4.60 were covered near $4.01 (Friday, August 15) Short options added roughly 40 cents with 20 cents used to buy Dec25 $4.20 [...]

Corn: Cash

Corn: Cash

Darin Newsom2025-10-18T04:32:01-05:00October 18th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: End-users: Cash needs through the 2026 summer quarter (June-July-August) should be covered, based on bullish seasonal tendency through the end of May. Producers: Unhedged or Unpriced bushels can [...]

Gold

Gold

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T08:26:19-05:00October 4th, 2025|Metals, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and/or Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) based on Market Rule #1: Don’t get crossways with the trend. Why do central banks and [...]

WTI Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T08:18:30-05:00October 4th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines with the market to low to sell but facing a bearish seasonal turn. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish Seasonally, the market tends to trend [...]

Diesel Fuel

Diesel Fuel

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T08:11:28-05:00October 4th, 2025|Energies, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish, then Bearish The spot-month contract tends [...]

Live Cattle

Live Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T07:51:41-05:00October 4th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Additional sell orders could also be placed below previous 4-week lows for the various futures contracts. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral [...]

Feeder Cattle

Feeder Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T07:37:46-05:00October 4th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales can be made more aggressively given both seasonal and technical analysis. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish (based on 5-year and 10-year seasonal indexes) The November futures contract tends [...]

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T07:12:08-05:00October 4th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can be more aggressive in selling cash hogs based on the move by futures to secondary downtrends (see below). Seasonal Analysis: Bullish (based on 5-year and 10-year [...]

SRW Wheat

SRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T06:59:31-05:00October 4th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 production should be sold at this point. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish (based on 5-year and 10-year seasonal indexes) While the 5-year index (red line) shows a normal seasonal [...]

HRW Wheat

HRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T06:49:09-05:00October 4th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could’ve been sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected 2025 production [...]

HRS Wheat

HRS Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T06:34:59-05:00October 4th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales have likely been made during harvest. Additional sales could be postponed based on the seasonal uptrend in the National HRS Index. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The National [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T06:22:08-05:00October 4th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Unhedged bushels can be sold at harvest. Short November futures hedges can be rolled to January covering 70% or more calculated full commercial carry. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral November [...]

Soybean Meal

Soybean Meal

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T06:10:32-05:00October 4th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: The balance of summer needs as well as fall and winter needs could’ve been covered when the December futures contract moved above the previous 4-week high of $290.50 [...]

Canola

Canola

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T04:48:42-05:00October 4th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could’ve been made near [...]

Cotton

Cotton

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T04:26:55-05:00October 4th, 2025|Softs, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers: Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in near 70.0 cents Newly harvested supplies could be sold given Dec25 moved to a new 4-week low last week, [...]

Corn: Futures

Corn: Futures

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T04:14:05-05:00October 4th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Investors Short Dec25 positions at roughly $4.60 were covered near $4.01 (Friday, August 15) Short options added roughly 40 cents with 20 cents used to buy Dec25 $4.20 [...]

Corn: Cash

Corn: Cash

Darin Newsom2025-10-04T03:57:22-05:00October 4th, 2025|Grain, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: End-users: Cash needs through the 2026 summer quarter (June-July-August) should be covered, based on bullish seasonal tendency through the end of May. Producers: Unhedged or Unpriced bushels can [...]

Live Cattle

Live Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T06:27:22-05:00September 27th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Sell orders could also be placed below previous 4-week lows for the various futures contracts. Trend: Sideways The December [...]

Feeder Cattle

Feeder Cattle

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T03:35:14-05:00September 27th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales can continue to be made when cattle are ready. Trend: Sideways The November futures contract is moving sideways on its weekly chart, for now. However, the [...]

Lean Hogs

Lean Hogs

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T03:25:59-05:00September 27th, 2025|Livestock and Dairy, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the high Cash Index and futures prices. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The December contract tends to [...]

HRW Wheat

HRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T03:07:02-05:00September 27th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could’ve been sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected 2025 production [...]

SRW Wheat

SRW Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T02:58:01-05:00September 27th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: 2025 production should be sold at this point. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish While the 5-year index (red line) shows a normal seasonal low the fourth week of August, fitting [...]

HRS Wheat

HRS Wheat

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T02:51:02-05:00September 27th, 2025|Weekly Analysis, Wheat|

Theoretical Positions: Cash sales have likely been made during harvest. Additional sales could be postponed based on the seasonal uptrend in the National HRS Index. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The National [...]

Soybeans

Soybeans

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T02:33:52-05:00September 27th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Unhedged bushels can be sold at harvest. Short November futures hedges can be rolled to January covering more than 70% calculated full commercial carry. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral November [...]

Canola

Canola

Darin Newsom2025-09-27T05:22:42-05:00September 27th, 2025|Oilseeds, Weekly Analysis|

Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could’ve been made near [...]