Soybean Meal
Theoretical Positions: The balance of summer needs as well as fall and winter needs could’ve been covered when the December futures contract moved above the previous 4-week high of $290.50 [...]
Theoretical Positions: The balance of summer needs as well as fall and winter needs could’ve been covered when the December futures contract moved above the previous 4-week high of $290.50 [...]
Theoretical Positions: Producers: Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in near 70.0 cents Traders: Investment traders are likely on the sidelines at this time Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The December [...]
Theoretical Positions: Investors Short Dec25 positions at roughly $4.60 were covered near $4.01 (Friday, August 15) Short options added roughly 40 cents with 20 cents used to buy Dec25 $4.20 [...]
Theoretical Positions: End-users: Cash needs through the 2026 summer quarter (June-July-August) should be covered, based on bullish seasonal tendency through the end of May. Producers: Unhedged or Unpriced bushels can [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines, though keeping an eye on what looks to be a building seasonal turn (see below). Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the market tends [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The spot-month contract tends to rally [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and/or Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) based on Market Rule #1: Don’t get crossways with the trend. Trend: Up All we need [...]
Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The October issue tends to rally from the first weekly close of September through the last [...]
Theoretical Positions: Cash sales can continue to be made when cattle are ready. Seasonal Analysis: Neutral The October issue tends to post a move sideways from the last weekly close [...]
Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the high Cash Index and futures prices. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The December contract tends to [...]
Theoretical Positions: 2025 production should be sold at this point. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish While the 5-year index (red line) shows a normal seasonal low the fourth week of August, fitting [...]
Theoretical Positions: 2025 Harvest: Newly harvested bushels could’ve been sold across the scales given the Cash Index seasonal downtrend Producers might’ve locked in a small part of expected 2025 production [...]
Theoretical Positions: Cash sales have likely been made during harvest. Additional sales could be postponed given the National HRS Index looks to have moved into a seasonal uptrend. Seasonal Analysis: [...]
Theoretical Positions: Unhedged bushels can be sold at harvest. If hedged in the November futures contract, we can look for opportunities to roll forward to January or March. For further [...]
Theoretical Positions: The balance of summer needs as well as fall and winter needs could’ve been covered when the December futures contract moved above the previous 4-week high of $290.50 [...]
Theoretical Positions: Initial sales of new-crop might’ve been made near the weekly close of $641.50 based on the completion of a bearish 2-week reversal. Additional sales could’ve been made near [...]
Theoretical Positions: Producers: Some expected 2025 production could’ve been locked in near 70.0 cents Traders: Investment traders are likely on the sidelines at this time Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The December [...]
Theoretical Positions: Investors Short Dec25 positions at roughly $4.60 were covered near $4.01 (Friday, August 15) Short options added roughly 40 cents with 20 cents used to buy Dec25 $4.20 [...]
Theoretical Positions: End-users: Cash needs through the 2026 summer quarter (June-July-August) should be covered, based on bullish seasonal tendency through the end of May. Producers: Unhedged or Unpriced bushels can [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines, though keeping an eye on what looks to be a building seasonal turn (see below). Seasonal Analysis: Bullish Seasonally, the market tends [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely on the sidelines for now. Cash needs can still be bought on an as needed basis. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The spot-month contract tends to rally [...]
Theoretical Positions: Traders are likely still long cash, futures, and/or Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) based on Market Rule #1: Don't get crossways with the trend. Trend: Up All we need [...]
Theoretical Positions: Cash cattle can continue to be sold when ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The October issue tends to rally from the first weekly close of September (last week) through [...]
Theoretical Positions: Cash sales can continue to be made when cattle are ready. Seasonal Analysis: Bearish The October issue tends to post a high weekly close the first week of [...]
Theoretical Positions: Producers can continue to sell cash hogs when ready to take advantage of the high Cash Index and futures prices. Seasonal Analysis: Bullish The October contract tends to [...]